Quantitative assessment of asylum-related migration. A survey of methodology 3 // Contents // Report Highlights 5 // Executive Summary 6 // 1. Introduction and Background 8 // 2. State of the art: The conceptual framework for analysing asylum related migration 10 // 3. Review and assessment of the existing sources of data on asylum related migration 13 // 3.1 Assessment framework and criteria 13 // 3.2 Data on asylum related migration 14 // 3.3 Data on drivers: push and pull factors, and intervening obstacles 18 // 3.4 Meta information on asylum policies across Europe 19 // 4. Review and assessment of the existing methods for modelling asylum related migration 21 // 4.1 Model evaluation framework and criteria 21 // 4.2 Statistical and econometric methods and models 22 // 4.3 National practice in predicting asylum related flows in Europe 26 // 4.4 Notes on the validation of models 31 // 5. Towards a bespoke EASO model of asylum related migration: A feasibility study 34 // 5.1 Synthesising the possible modelling frameworks 34 // 5.2 Design of the bespoke EASO model structure 35 // 5.3 Identifying the data/information gaps and limitations 39 // 5.4 A simple illustration of the framework 40 // 6. Conclusions and recommendations 42 // Glossary 44 // Bibliography 45 // Appendix A. Inventory of selected data and meta data sources 50 // Appendix B. Detailed assessment of data and methods // 51