Contents // Acknowledgments page xi // Acronyms and Abbreviations xv // Part I: Introduction and Theory i // 1 Introduction 3 // 2 Explaining Competitive Authoritarian Regime Trajectories: International // Linkage and the Organizational Power of Incumbents 37 // Part II: High Linkage and Democratization: Eastern Europe // and the Americas 85 // 3 Linkage, Leverage, and Democratization in Eastern Europe 87 // 4 Linkage, Leverage, and Democratization in the Americas 130 // Part III: The Dy namics of Competitive Authoritarianism in // Low-Linkage Regions: The Former Soviet Union, Africa, and Asia 181 // 5 The Evolution of Post-Soviet Competitive Authoritarianism 183 // 6 Africa/Transitions without Democratization 236 // 7 Diverging Outcomes in Asia 309 // 8 Conclusion 339 // Appendix I: Measuring Competitive Authoritarianism and // Authoritarian Stability 365 // Appendix II: Measuring Leverage 372 // Appendix III: Measuring Linkage 374 // Appendix IV: Measuring Organizational Power 376 // References 381 // Index 493 // ix