Print version: Brogan, Michael J. Modern budget forecasting in the American states : precision, uncertainty, and politics. Lanham, Maryland : Lexington Books, [2014] x, 185 pages ISBN 9780739168394
Includes bibliographical references and index
Introduction to the public budgeting forecast process -- The process and politics of generating budget forecast errors -- Inter-temporal variation, fiscal uncertainty and state-level long-term revenue budget forecasts errors -- Projecting expenditures : revenue uncertainty, public choices, political institutions, elections and forecast errors -- Interpreting budget forecast errors : fiscal shirking, financial uncertainty and public opinion -- The financial consequences of state-level budget forecast errors -- The electoral consequences of budget forecast errors -- Budget forecasting in the states : reforms, institutions, politics and uncertainty.